Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.047531 0.051759 0.056051 0.060728 0.065673 0.070738 0.076312
2024-12-15 0.039952 0.046025 0.052427 0.059650 0.067547 0.075890 0.085346
2024-12-22 0.035987 0.043563 0.051812 0.061398 0.072168 0.083833 0.097362
2024-12-29 0.032264 0.040917 0.050627 0.062216 0.075555 0.090318 0.107776
2025-01-05 0.029154 0.038625 0.049554 0.062915 0.078629 0.096346 0.117655
2025-01-12 0.025904 0.035847 0.047638 0.062393 0.080101 0.100418 0.125233
2025-01-19 0.023860 0.034333 0.047059 0.063309 0.083151 0.106251 0.134829
2025-01-26 0.021433 0.032123 0.045442 0.062799 0.084363 0.109832 0.141733
2025-02-02 0.019672 0.030619 0.044576 0.063101 0.086470 0.114421 0.149810
2025-02-09 0.018481 0.029767 0.044453 0.064264 0.089590 0.120212 0.159340
2025-02-16 0.017979 0.029799 0.045445 0.066833 0.094470 0.128176 0.171562
2025-02-23 0.015754 0.027260 0.042882 0.064655 0.093232 0.128520 0.174417
2025-03-02 0.014219 0.025628 0.041491 0.063996 0.093952 0.131360 0.180462
2025-03-09 0.012919 0.024244 0.040359 0.063618 0.094996 0.134589 0.187009
2025-03-16 0.012549 0.024242 0.041156 0.065863 0.099504 0.142259 0.199199
2025-03-23 0.011864 0.023695 0.041134 0.066954 0.102477 0.147984 0.208980
2025-03-30 0.011170 0.023080 0.040971 0.067818 0.105132 0.153309 0.218288
2025-04-06 0.010174 0.021893 0.039896 0.067338 0.105929 0.156198 0.224486
2025-04-13 0.009638 0.021432 0.039877 0.068343 0.108741 0.161730 0.234108
2025-04-20 0.008779 0.020346 0.038843 0.067826 0.109421 0.164434 0.240075
2025-04-27 0.008183 0.019673 0.038410 0.068156 0.111255 0.168661 0.248033
2025-05-04 0.007829 0.019408 0.038598 0.069391 0.114352 0.174582 0.258228
2025-05-11 0.007805 0.019751 0.039764 0.072105 0.119566 0.183383 0.272267